The calm in grains will likely end today
Grains are very calm since the autumn last year. This is not unusual after the American harvest. The weather ceases to have any influence on prices and unless some catastrophic weather hits South America. Demand and especially the exports are the only force left to move the market. However, the decrease in volatility over the […]
There won’t be fresh COT data anytime soon
Everybody who trades commodities or futures on currencies, indices or volatility knows that there haven’t been published any new Commitments of Traders data from Dec 22nd, 2018 to Jan 25, 2019 due to the US government shutdown. We informed you in time about this on our twitter… You can find the whole article HERE.
What strategy to choose for oil & gas in 2019
Crude oil is undergoing a bounce, but should remain under pressure for the rest of 2019…this is what we have predicted in the last issue of the Spread report our premium subscribers received on the New Year’s Eve. Today, I will take a closer look at the situation in crude oil and also mention natural […]
Dramatic changes on the soybean market
Recently, markets are everything but not boring. There are many interesting situations and opportunities I can write about therefore the latest Spread report was also very extensive. Today I decided to analyze the soybean market for you. I consider it currently one of the best long-term opportunities not only within the grains but in general. […]
Gas: Speculators vs. hedgers: Who’s right?
I have been receiving a lot of questions about the gas lately. Some bear spreads are very tempting due to very favorable seasonality. But there is one problem – COT analysis. Both groups of market participants suggest a different sentiment. That’s why some traders are confused. Which market participants we should actually believe? Today I […]
Gold: Is it still worth buying?
Precious metals again did not disappoint me at the end of the year. In December, they began to grow rapidly, as it is usually at the end of the year. We were expecting this as you could see in the Spread Report, where we have analysed in detail the silver with the expectation of the […]
Contango and inefficient commodity ETFs
In the previous articles, I explained what does contango mean, what the VIX index is, and how some ETF / ETNs work in the volatile markets. I have focused mainly on the inefficiencies which are brought by such construction and which can be very interesting for our trading. In today’s article, I would like […]
Cheap butter for everyone!
Butter fewer is going around at least some parts of Europe. Somewhere the price has grown by 100%, in other places there is a lack of butter in the stores. In order to keep my blog up with the latest trends, I’m going to analyze butter today. I will try to analyze the market as […]
Crude oil analysis
Crude oil has risen considerably since June. The situation in the market is no longer as clear as it was back then, when the oil was dirt cheap. What direction will the market choose in the short term? Technical analysis Let’s take a look at the December future. The price is repeating an interesting […]
Am I going to take the bull spread on corn?
Market with corn is currently extremely oversold, and traders are “lurking” for growth. The question is, whether this is a good opportunity for me. First, let’s have a look at the market situation. COT analysis The current market sentiment indicates high tension in market. First, let’s look at the COT index of positions. […]