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New seasonal uncertainty calculation on SpreadCharts

31 Oct 2018

Seasonality analysis is a great tool. Many people, however, use it incorrectly. Their approach is too dogmatic as they time their trades with a daily precision, based on the seasonal average curves. Albeit useful, seasonality gives us only a limited knowledge about the current state of the market. It only shows us past trend over […]

Bear spreads in corn will become even more profitable

1 Oct 2018

At the end of next year (2019), the CME Group will raise storage rates in corn and soybeans futures contracts from 0.165 of one cent per bushel per day to 0.265 of one cent per bushel per day. The change will take effect… You can find the whole article HERE.

VSR model for KC HRW wheat

14 Sep 2018

I’d like to share with you some recent news from SpreadCharts. We’ve been working on quite a few things, but the most significant change occurred in the way we store data. We finally got rid of the last bit of SQL type databases on our data server. Some of the charts have become even faster… […]

Option trading in practice – Weeks 14 and 15

16 Aug 2018

Dear Readers and Traders, in this article I want to summarize our gas trading activities, show you the changes in the portfolio as well as the conclusions we have made in our models regarding the temperature adjusted balance between supply and demand. Also, I would like to thank you for a number of very good […]

StrategyQuant X – as fast as a Ferrari or as slow as a Trabant?

14 Aug 2018

Today’s article got a little “tabloid” title, because I have started the speed testing and I did not know how it will end up.       On Friday, August 10, 2018, we released a new version of StrategyQuant – build 108 (downloadable for full license owners HERE), where we managed to significantly increase the […]

What’s behind the growth of Tesla motors shares (TSLA)

13 Aug 2018

Tesla’s share trading had been suspended on last Monday for one hour, as the share price jumped by 11% to $ 382. The reason was the announcement by E. Musk about a possible withdrawal of Tesla’s shares from the market.       E. Musk has set the price to $ 420 per share, for […]

Automated trading systems based on artificial intelligence

7 Aug 2018

Today, I have an interesting topic for you, and the topic is artificial intelligence. The article will be a little longer, so I’ll split it into more parts:     Introduction What is artificial intelligence and what we can imagine under this name What, on the contrary, is not artificial intelligence How does artificial intelligence […]

Option trading in practice – Week 13

2 Aug 2018

Dear readers and traders, since last week, we saw a slight loss due to an increase in the gas prices. What makes us happier is the overview of our trading since first May, when we started. Since then, ETF: UNG has grown by about 1%. Since we are trying to be short on gas, an […]

A new oil opportunity is here!

1 Aug 2018

There is again a new interesting opportunity in oil. The price is currently at almost 4-year high. You often ask: Will this uptrend continue? Or are we already witnessing turn of the trend? There are several interesting factors that could tell us the direction of further development. Especially one effect is crucial to me. So, […]

Shares of Facebook in a freefall

30 Jul 2018

The reason for the fall of the Facebook stocks in two words: “exaggerated expectations“. On Wednesday, after the trading season has ended, Facebook released quarterly results. While earlier that day, the stocks has reached the new historical high ($ 216.30). The subsequent drop in prices was like a cold shower for traders and investors. Yesterday […]